Twitter Gives Us Both Sides of the Trade
by Mike Paulenoff
May 9, 2014 • 12:00 AM EDT
Our Twitter (TWTR) calls this week were successful on both the initial downside and the recovery rally.
On Tuesday May 6 we noted that "all roads point to a test of the lower channel line off the February high." Our chart indicated that a 1% downside penetration of the lower channel boundary would project into the 31.80/75 target zone prior to our expected recovery rally.
Indeed, Twitter, which was trading at 33.36 at the time, reached our downside target at the open on Wednesday and actually dropped below 30.
We put on a long trade at 30.80 on Wednesday and rode it for a 5% gain in 1 day (Twitter got as high as 32.98 on Thursday).
My near-term pattern work on TWTR argues that the stock is in a partially completed initial recovery rally phase that has unfinished business on the upside to a minimum target of 33.70-34.00 and an optional target of 35.50 to 37.00.
See our chart below from Thursday.
Mike Paulenoff is the author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on
ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international
markets, plus key ETF component stocks in sectors like technology, mining, and banking.
Sign up for a Free 7-day Trial!
More Top Calls From Mike
On December 13, 2024, with NVDA trading at 132.54, down 13.3% from its All-Time High at 152.89 (11/21/24), and bearing down on a critical 8-week support plateau at 131-132, this is what I posted to MPTraders:NVDA Update: Approaching key support in the vicinity of 132 that if violated and sustained, could unleash the downside potential derived from a two-month top formation (everyone sees the Head and Shoulders formation by now).
Friday afternoon, fifteen minutes before the closing bell in the equity indices, this was my parting comment about Bitcoin:Heading into the weekend, the technical setup argues against holding shorts in Bitcoin... no?...
Many of you have been members of MPTrader for years, perhaps decades (I have been providing MPTrader.com analysis since February 2003!). Rarely do I take a victory lap about my stock, ETF, and market calls, largely because I have always thought my work should speak for itself, which obviates the need to bloviate and beat my chest to stroke my ego. At my core, I am a market nerd and Geek, not a slick-talking marketer (for better or worse).
Back on November 12, 2024, fellow MPTrader member "Rayray" wrote the following when ARCH (Archer Aviation) was trading at $4.83:Mike, as you may recall I have been an active follower of ACHR. I no longer have a position that I trade off of and am on the sidelines watching a move that I should have participated in . That said, is this the move to $9.00 that has been on the table for a while ?... My analysis: NO!...
On the morning of Tuesday, November 12, 2024, I posted the following Heads-Up to MPTrader members concerning my DIS (Disney) analysis ahead of earnings:DIS (Disney) reports earnings on Thursday morning. Technically, DIS approaches Earnings in strong near-term technical condition that argues for a positive reaction to earnings. As long as any forthcoming weakness is contained above 94.80, DIS points higher to 105.10/40, and if taken out, then to 113-115... Last is 100.25...
