Sunday Afternoon, Bitcoin is Pushing Up Against its All Time Highs Again

by Mike Paulenoff
December 15, 2024 • 1:51 PM EST
Friday afternoon, fifteen minutes before the closing bell in the equity indices, this was my parting comment about Bitcoin:
Heading into the weekend, the technical setup argues against holding shorts in Bitcoin... no?...
Less than 5 hours before the re-opening of the equity futures markets this evening, we find Bitcoin above 103,000 as it approaches a full-fledged retest of its 12/05/24 ATH at 104,100, which, if (when) hurdled and sustained, triggers a next projection in my work to 110,000-112,000, perhaps in route to much higher prices thereafter, and maybe a reflection of the pro-crypto incoming Trump Administration "normalizing Bitcoin" as a store-of-value by a finite-supplied asset that is adopted throughout the international financial community.
If Bitcoin is the new generational "digital gold," and it is widely adopted and accumulated by the incoming US Government as an anchor for the value of the Dollar and used to gradually pay down a gargantuan $36.23 trillion in sovereign debt (as of this morning), then just maybe the damaged perception of the once meaningful moniker the "full faith and credit of the United States of America" will be rehabilitated, and as such, so too will US fiscal health and America's ability to pay the interest on its debt at increasingly favorable rates... the opposite of the way things are heading at the moment...
This is just me thinking out loud, offering food for thought as we head into 4 years of positive disruption intended to "fix" America... Let's keep our fingers crossed! Last in Bitcoin is 103,177...

Mike Paulenoff is the author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on
ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international
markets, plus key ETF component stocks in sectors like technology, mining, and banking.
Sign up for a Free 7-day Trial!
More Top Calls From Mike
On March 10, 2025, fifteen minutes before the closing bell and Oracle's forthcoming Earnings Report, below was the analysis I posted to the MPTrader Discussion Room about ORCL:"... My preferred scenario indicates a negative reaction to the news that sends ORCL reeling to test important support at 139.50-141.20-- where ORCL MUST reverse to the upside to avert triggering still lower projections into the 118-123 (back the truck up) target window... Last is 149.32"...
Last October 21, 2024, I alerted MPTrader members to a Goldman Sachs upgrade of optical products retailer Warby Parker (WRBY) to Buy from Neutral. Goldman attached an 18.00 target price to the stock. At the time of my post to members, WRBY was trading at 17.55 in reaction to the GS upgrade, up 6% from the prior close, and just 2.5% from Goldman's 12-month target price.
On February 26, 2025, just 30 minutes before NVDA (Nvidia Corp) was scheduled to release its highly anticipated and potentially consequential Quarterly Earnings Report, I reiterated my most recent analysis uploaded before the opening bell. This is what I posted to the MPTrader Discussion Room:Technically, my Big Picture setup work on NVDA argues that the 2/03/25 low represented the END of a major correction that originated at NVDA's "orthodox" price high of 152.89 on 11/21/24-- the session following the company's November 20, 2024 Earnings report.
Before the market opening on February 4, 2025, hours after Palantir Technologies (PLTR) reported stellar Earnings, this is what I discussed with MPTrader members:In reaction to Earnings, PLTR has sustained strength above my "outlier" target zone of 96 to 100, which requires new upside pattern parameters. My optimal price path from atop the post-Earnings, 25% upmove points to an immediate objective of 105-08, followed by a contained pullback into the 95 area, ahead of a thrust toward 115-118 thereafter... Last is 103.50...
On January 6, 2025, this is what I discussed with MPTrader members about the Chinese equity names--Alibaba (BABA) in particular:BABA-- For anyone who wants an outlier contrarian play for the first two-quarters of the Trump Agenda, let's consider BABA. Purely from a technical perspective, I can make a compelling technical argument that the 12/20/24 low at 81.5 ended the larger correction off of the Oct 2024 upleg (from 71.80) high at 121.06. To confirm the low, any weakness must hold support at 81.50-83.