Devon Energy (DVN) Closely Follows Our Technical Script
by Mike Paulenoff
October 23, 2022 • 12:32 PM EDT
On October 6, Mike Paulenoff posted this alert about Devon Energy (DVN) to MPTrader members:
Based on the very powerful pattern carved out from the 2020 low at 6.93 to the June 2022 high at 79.40, all of the action during the past four months represents a bullish digestion period of the 19-month upmove that should resolve itself in a thrust into a new upleg that projects above 79.40 to 85.00+.
If the four-month digestion pattern has taken the form of a bullish Triangle, and based on the "typical behavior" of a Triangle ... DVN should stall and roll over beneath key next resistance at 73.50-75.27 and pull back... to satisfy the final traverse across the range ahead of an explosive upmove.
In Theory, such a scenario or a modified version of this bullish scenario is what I am expecting for DVN. However, if DVN continues higher and takes out resistance at 73.50-75.27, then it will be poised for upside continuation directly to new ATHs...
... The bottom line is that DVN is in the grasp of an extremely powerful intermediate-longer-term bull trend. Maybe waiting for a pullback... will turn out to be a perfect strategy, but doing so also risks missing the 20% upmove if DVN just keeps on climbing... Last is 72.42...
During the 11 trading days following Mike's post, DVN has closely followed his technical script, first pulling back to the October 10 low at 67.14 (-6.2%) and then embarking on a new upleg that climbed and closed above the dominant June-October upper Coil resistance boundary line last Friday (see chart).
DVN closed at 74.29 Friday, up 2.6% from Mike's alert, and based on its current technical setup, is poised for upside continuation to challenge and take out the June high at 79.40.
What is in store for DVN (and the larger Energy Sector) after last week's impressive upmove from 68.62 to 74.38 (+8.4%) and ahead of the company's release of Q3 earnings after the close on November 1? Join Mike and our members for their constant intraday discussions about Energy as well as other Sector ETFs, individual Equity names, Macro Indices, Commodities, and Bitcoin
Mike Paulenoff is the author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on
ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international
markets, plus key ETF component stocks in sectors like technology, mining, and banking.
Sign up for a Free 7-day Trial!
More Top Calls From Mike
At the close of trading on December 18, 2024, this was my final thought posted to our discussion room at MPTrader.com:ES (March 2024 E-mini SP 500)-- Stating the obvious: Today's reaction to the FOMC Rate CUT (!!) inflicted serious near-term technical damage to the dominant, post-August uptrend... Last 5960.75...Thirty minutes after the close on December 18, 2024, I followed up with this commentary for MPTraders:My preliminary "conclusion" about today's outsized 3.
On December 20, 2024, this is what we discussed about the relentless four-week correction from NVDA's ATH at 152.89 (11/21/24) to a low at 126.35 on 12/20/24:Three Times is a Charm? For the third time this week, NVDA spiked down into the lower reaches of my optimal corrective target window from 132 to 125-- this AM representing the latest spike low at 126.35-- and for the third time, buyers emerged, propelling NVDA higher to 130-132. As we speak, NVDA is trading at 131.
On December 13, 2024, with NVDA trading at 132.54, down 13.3% from its All-Time High at 152.89 (11/21/24), and bearing down on a critical 8-week support plateau at 131-132, this is what I posted to MPTraders:NVDA Update: Approaching key support in the vicinity of 132 that if violated and sustained, could unleash the downside potential derived from a two-month top formation (everyone sees the Head and Shoulders formation by now).
Friday afternoon, fifteen minutes before the closing bell in the equity indices, this was my parting comment about Bitcoin:Heading into the weekend, the technical setup argues against holding shorts in Bitcoin... no?...
Many of you have been members of MPTrader for years, perhaps decades (I have been providing MPTrader.com analysis since February 2003!). Rarely do I take a victory lap about my stock, ETF, and market calls, largely because I have always thought my work should speak for itself, which obviates the need to bloviate and beat my chest to stroke my ego. At my core, I am a market nerd and Geek, not a slick-talking marketer (for better or worse).