Capitalizing on IWM Deterioration
by Mike Paulenoff
May 16, 2014 • 12:00 AM EDT
On Wednesday afternoon, May 14, we added the IWM August 110 Puts at 4.20 to protect long exposure through the summer months. The underlying IWM (Russell 2000 Small Cap ETF) was trading at 110.55 at the time of entry. The very next day, on Thursday morning, the IWM traded down to a low of 107.44, causing the August 110 Put to appreciate to 5.75-5.90.
We noted on the chart on Wednesday (see below) that the IWM "has carved out a significant multi-month top formation, and is biding time ahead of a very ugly breakdown beneath 110-108 that will unleash a waterfall of selling pressure that projects to 95.00-93.00. With the 50-day EMA (113.16) bearing down on the price structure AND the flattening 200-day EMA, the IWM looks particularly vulnerable to serious weakness in the days and weeks directly ahead."
MPTrader is in an excellent position to take advantage of further near- and medium-term deterioration in the Russell Small Cap ETF (IWM).
Mike Paulenoff is the author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on
ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international
markets, plus key ETF component stocks in sectors like technology, mining, and banking.
Sign up for a Free 7-day Trial!
More Top Calls From Mike
Last Monday afternoon (October 21), Mike alerted MPTrader members to a Goldman Sachs upgrade of optical products retailer Warby Parker (WRBY) to Buy from Neutral. Goldman attached an 18.00 target price to the stock. At the time of Mike's post to members, WRBY was trading at 17.55 in reaction to the GS upgrade, up 6% from the prior close, and just 2.5% from Goldman's 12-month target price.
On the afternoon of March 13, 2024, I posted the following heads-up to MPTrader members about important price action in WPM (Wheaton Precious Metals), my go-to ("favorite") name for Silver Mining within the larger Precious Metals Mining Complex:From a silver-gold perspective, let's notice that WPM strength is pushing up against its near-term resistance line in the vicinity of 45.80.
Over one month ago, on Monday morning, 9/09/24, I posted the following NVDA update for our members:My near-term pattern work makes a compelling argument that the corrective downleg from the 8/16 high at 131 is nearing downside exhaustion and completion in and around 100 (Friday's low was 100.95). That said, unless and until NVDA climbs above 106.30 to 108.
On August 27, 2024, I reviewed my near and intermediate-term technical setup on copper (gold, silver, oil) producer FCX (Freeport-McMoRan) for MPTrader members, writing:My attached Daily Chart shows the 30% correction from the May 2024 high to the August 2024 low, which my pattern work argues ended the retracement of the first upleg of a new bull phase in FCX that began at the 10/23/23 low of 33.08 and ended at the 5/20/24 high of 55.24. The August 2024 upmove from 39.08 (8/05/24) to 46.
On August 5, hours before its after-market earnings report, Mike Paulenoff posted a bullish alert on AI-juggernaut PLTR, writing:"Bottom Line Technically: As long as any forthcoming weakness on a closing basis remains above key support lodged between 19.60 and 21.50, PLTR has the right look of nearing the completion of the correction from its 7/08/24 high at 29.83, and the initiation of another advance that will extend the upside potential off of a two-year base-accumulation setup."The stock, trading at 23.