+18% on FCX

by Mike Paulenoff
September 18, 2015 • 5:37 PM EDT
On Sep 9 we noted in our Trading Room and on MarketWatch that copper could be in the midst of a significant upside reversal. We noted the positive macro trends, including the correlation with 10-year yield, as well as the strong technicals, and then pointed to a leading stock in copper that could benefit from the trend.
Since then, Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), which we also added that day as a short-term trade set-up, has run from our 10.63 entry to 12.59, where we exited today.
That gave us an 18.4% return, and was the 8th winning trade out of our last 9 set-ups!
Mike Paulenoff is the author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on
ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international
markets, plus key ETF component stocks in sectors like technology, mining, and banking.
Sign up for a Free 7-day Trial!
More Top Calls From Mike
On February 26, 2025, just 30 minutes before NVDA (Nvidia Corp) was scheduled to release its highly anticipated and potentially consequential Quarterly Earnings Report, I reiterated my most recent analysis uploaded before the opening bell. This is what I posted to the MPTrader Discussion Room:Technically, my Big Picture setup work on NVDA argues that the 2/03/25 low represented the END of a major correction that originated at NVDA's "orthodox" price high of 152.89 on 11/21/24-- the session following the company's November 20, 2024 Earnings report.
Before the market opening on February 4, 2025, hours after Palantir Technologies (PLTR) reported stellar Earnings, this is what I discussed with MPTrader members:In reaction to Earnings, PLTR has sustained strength above my "outlier" target zone of 96 to 100, which requires new upside pattern parameters. My optimal price path from atop the post-Earnings, 25% upmove points to an immediate objective of 105-08, followed by a contained pullback into the 95 area, ahead of a thrust toward 115-118 thereafter... Last is 103.50...
On January 6, 2025, this is what I discussed with MPTrader members about the Chinese equity names--Alibaba (BABA) in particular:BABA-- For anyone who wants an outlier contrarian play for the first two-quarters of the Trump Agenda, let's consider BABA. Purely from a technical perspective, I can make a compelling technical argument that the 12/20/24 low at 81.5 ended the larger correction off of the Oct 2024 upleg (from 71.80) high at 121.06. To confirm the low, any weakness must hold support at 81.50-83.
Never a dull moment since January 20, 2025! This weekend, POTUS imposed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada, and 10% on China, which go into effect on Tuesday. From an initial market perspective, tariff trade war fears have triggered a risk-off reaction from Bitcoin-- the only highly liquid weekend market that can give us insight into what to expect for Sunday evening and Monday morning trading.
On December 27, 2024, with META trading at 595.26, this is what I posted to the MPTrader Discussion Room in response to a member's question:My pattern work from the October 2023 low at 279.40 to the December 2024 ATH at 638.40 (+128%) tells me that META is at a technical crossroad now... META's most recent upleg from the 11/19/24 low at 547.71 to the 12/11/24 ATH at 638.40 has the "right look" of a completed advance.