GLD Follows Our Anticipated Upside Reversal Price Path

by Mike Paulenoff
October 29, 2023 • 3:25 PM EDT
On October 3, Mike Paulenoff posted the following "Heads Up!" about GLD (SPDR Gold Trust, ETF) for MPTrader members:
"GLD has pressed to an important technical inflection window from 169.50 down to 166.30, from where I will be expecting corrective downside exhaustion off of the 5/04/23 high at 191.36, and new buying interest. From a nearer-term perspective, given the acute oversold but CONFIRMED Momentum reading of 17.16 an hour ago, my preferred scenario argues for another loop down that marginally violates today's low at 168.74 prior to my expectation of a tradable recovery rally... Last is 169.49..."
Within the subsequent 4 trading sessions, GLD closely followed Mike's anticipated upside reversal price path, initially pressing to a lower corrective low at 167.93 -- still within his optimal downside target window from 169.50 to 166.30 -- prior to pivoting powerfully to the upside, thereafter.
In fact, GLD has never looked back from its 10/06/23 low at 167.93 into this past Friday's high at 186.36. In the 19 trading days since Mike's alert to our MPTrader members, GLD has climbed $16.87, or 10%!
What's next for GLD? Will its strength continue? Is the strength a function of a weaker US Dollar, or alternatively, a result of stubborn inflationary expectations, rapidly rising geopolitical tensions, or debt financing "gone wild?" How about a combination of all of the above?
Join Mike and MPTrader members ASAP for their continuous intraday discussions, chart analysis, and exchange of fundamental ideas on GLD, as well as on many individual stocks, sector ETFs, macro indices, commodities, and Bitcoin.
Mike Paulenoff is the author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on
ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international
markets, plus key ETF component stocks in sectors like technology, mining, and banking.
Sign up for a Free 7-day Trial!
ARKK (ARK Innovation Fund, ETF)-- Back on August 20, 2025, this is what we discussed about ARKK:Fellow member Pawel has requested an update on Cathie Wood's fund, which in June thrust up and out of a 3-1/2 year base-accumulation period and pattern above 68.40/50 that subsequently climbed to my initial target in the vicinity of 80 (see my attached Daily Chart). Since the 7/21/25 high at 79.
On July 31, 2025, with SLV (Silver ETF) trading at 33.27, this is what we discussed about my technical setup:SLV-- On the subject of tariffs, copper, and silver, Trump extended the tariff deal with Mexico for 90 days, which included steel and copper, but NO MENTION of Silver (so far). Let's notice on my attached 4-Hour chart of SLV that the week-long nosedive from 35.91 to this AM's low at 33.
On February 18, 2025, this is what I posted on MPTrader about KWEB (Chinese Internet ETF) that alerted traders to a potentially explosive setup that should keep KWEB on our radar screens going forward :My attached Daily Chart shows that KWEB is attempting to emerge from a huge, three-year rounded base-accumulation setup that projects much higher prices as the price structure climbs the "recovery wall of worry" in the aftermath of the relentless bear phase from the February 2021 ATH at 104.
On July 29, 2025, this is what we discussed about TEVA (Teva Pharma), accompanied by my then-current 4-Hour Chart, just ahead of Earnings:My attached 4-Hour Chart setup argues that TEVA is poised for upside continuation of its April-May advance (12.47 to 18.67) EITHER right from current levels in reaction to a positive Earnings Report tomorrow morning, OR into a BTD bout of weakness into the 14.85-15.55 target support window.
On the morning of August 6th, I posted the chart below after seeing Fundstrat's Tom Lee discuss his CEO position in BMNR (BitMine Immersion Technologies), and the fact that BMNR was accumulating a large cache of Ethereum (ETH) that will serve as an ETH Treasury holding similar to the Bitcoin model used by Microstrategy's Michael Saylor. At the time, BNMR had climbed from 31.85 to 33.70, which piqued my attention technically:"BNMR ... once again is putting upward pressure on the 34.