100% Gain in 24 Hours
by Mike Paulenoff
April 8, 2016 • 12:00 AM EDT
On Monday April 4, Mike noted in the room that the US Oil Fund ETF (USO) should hold key support at 9.25-9.00 given that its larger pattern represents an incomplete medium term recovery rally arguing for another up-leg towards 12.
On Tuesday, he got into the USO Apr. 8th 9.00 Calls at 27 cents, looking to take advantage of a technical bounce in the USO in reaction to Wednesday's EIA Oil Inventory Report.
Sure enough, the USO bottomed right at 8.99 on Tuesday, reaching above 10 intraday on Friday. Although Thursday's EIA Report would subsequently show a neutral/bearish weekly build in oil supplies, Mike's interpretation of the promising technical set up earlier in the week anticipated strong price action into, and a positive reaction after, the release of the data.
Mike exited the calls on Wednesday at 55 cents, for a 100% gain in 24 hours.
The USO trade was one of several strong trades for Mike since the start of the month. He exited the Silver Wheaton (SLW) puts on April 1 for a +200% gain in 1 day, and the SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI) on April 6 for a gain of 10% in 2 weeks, displaying trading accuracy across a number of markets: Oil, Metals and Biotech.
Plus, Mike exited his Visa (V) and Raytheon Company (RTN) trades this week for 2% nominal gains, with only Nike (NKE) incurring a nominal loss after a 3.8% gain from a prior long position from March 14-18.
Mike Paulenoff is the author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on
ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international
markets, plus key ETF component stocks in sectors like technology, mining, and banking.
Sign up for a Free 7-day Trial!
More Top Calls From Mike
Friday afternoon, fifteen minutes before the closing bell in the equity indices, this was my parting comment about Bitcoin:Heading into the weekend, the technical setup argues against holding shorts in Bitcoin... no?...
Many of you have been members of MPTrader for years, perhaps decades (I have been providing MPTrader.com analysis since February 2003!). Rarely do I take a victory lap about my stock, ETF, and market calls, largely because I have always thought my work should speak for itself, which obviates the need to bloviate and beat my chest to stroke my ego. At my core, I am a market nerd and Geek, not a slick-talking marketer (for better or worse).
Back on November 12, 2024, fellow MPTrader member "Rayray" wrote the following when ARCH (Archer Aviation) was trading at $4.83:Mike, as you may recall I have been an active follower of ACHR. I no longer have a position that I trade off of and am on the sidelines watching a move that I should have participated in . That said, is this the move to $9.00 that has been on the table for a while ?... My analysis: NO!...
On the morning of Tuesday, November 12, 2024, I posted the following Heads-Up to MPTrader members concerning my DIS (Disney) analysis ahead of earnings:DIS (Disney) reports earnings on Thursday morning. Technically, DIS approaches Earnings in strong near-term technical condition that argues for a positive reaction to earnings. As long as any forthcoming weakness is contained above 94.80, DIS points higher to 105.10/40, and if taken out, then to 113-115... Last is 100.25...
On September 20, 2024, fellow MPTrader member Bloom asked Mike Paulenoff to look at his chart setup in Upstart Holdings (UPST). This is what they discussed in Mike's post to our Discussion Room in its entirety:UPST (Upstart Holdings)... It is NO coincidence that when the Fed initiated its rate HIKE cycle in March 2022, it coincided with the steep, contractionary, prolonged bear phase in cloud-based AI lender UPST.