Market Analysis for Nov 18th, 2005
Interesting situation here, and one that concerns anyone familiar with
Dow Theory. Notice that the Transports have leaped to a new all-time high
today, extending the powerful upmove off its Oct. low from 3,550 to 4,134.
The equidistant measurement of the DJTA upmove from its March-Oct.
coil pattern projects to 4,100, which was satisfied this morning, and
which should represent completion of the upleg from the coil pattern.
Based on my work, I would be taking profits in the Transports
"up here." In contrast, notice that DJIA has NOT climbed the
new highs like it did last March, when it CONFIRMED the
new high in the Transports. As of this time, the Industrials
remain about 200 points shy of confirming the Trannies,
which is a bothersome non-confirmation of the major UP
trend. Furthermore, while the DJTA satisfied its swing
target out of the Mar.-Oct. bullish coil, the DJIA only
has climbed 60% of the approximately 985 points
needed for an equidistant thrust out of the coil.
This too is a disconcerting sign of "Industrial
weakness," and WARNS us that pressure in
the Industrials that breaks 10,650 likely will
represent a MAJOR SIGNAL THAT THE CURRENT
ADVANCE IS OVER.
MJP 11/18/05 12:40 PM ET
DJIA: 10,701; DJTA: 4,119
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